the crowd

the crowd
the crowd, people;
the crowd, people connected; 
the crowd, humanity’s beating heart;
the crowd, core of the internet of everything;
the crowd, evolutionary specie;
the crowd, real power.

the crowd year 02015:
people, around seven billion;
people connected, less than three billion intermittently;
humanity’s beating heart, young and strengthening;
core of internet of everything, ~ sixteen billion connections;
evolutionary specie, not yet self-aware;
real power, emerging.

the crowd year 02025:
people, around eight billion;
people connected, everyone, all eight billion continuously;
humanity’s beating heart, maturing and strong;
core of internet of everything, ~ one trillion connections;
evolutionary specie, self-aware;
real power, the crowd.

‘ddp3.07.06.02015

The question of everything

2025: disrupt 2 thrive

The question of everything

A contemplation on the need to write new rules to be able to change the world for the better led to a contemplation on writing new math and whether there really is a difference between writing new rules and new math.

Writing new math to solve astrophysics conundrums is commonplace to the likes of Dr. Lawrence Krauss, Dr. Neil Tyson, Dr. Radek Zalenka and Dr. Rodney Mackay.

New math then:

1     big hairy assed grand challenge for humanity

+ 1     exponential technology toolbox

+ 1     percent of GDP

= 3     = phase 1: empowered crowd in 2025 ready for phase 2 to 2050 and beyond

+ 1      percent of GDP

= 4     = phase 2: done deal, pretty much everything is happening

…4                   2

…42

.:.        42 = everything

Col Shepherd and The…

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The question of everything

The question of everything

A contemplation on the need to write new rules to be able to change the world for the better led to a contemplation on writing new math and whether there really is a difference between writing new rules and new math.

Writing new math to solve astrophysics conundrums is commonplace to the likes of Dr. Lawrence Krauss, Dr. Neil Tyson, Dr. Radek Zalenka and Dr. Rodney Mackay.

New math then:

1     big hairy assed grand challenge for humanity

+ 1     exponential technology toolbox

+ 1     percent of GDP

= 3     = phase 1: empowered crowd in 2025 ready for phase 2 to 2050 and beyond

+ 1      percent of GDP

= 4     = phase 2: done deal, pretty much everything is happening

…4                   2

…42

.:.        42 = everything

Col Shepherd and The Stargate Atlantis team were right all along:

 The answer to the question of everything really is 42.

 

So anyway, a bit of new roughneck math

‘ddj1.30.05.02015

A futuristic story about Silicon Valley and Rio de Janeiro

A futuristic story about Silicon Valley and Rio de Janeiro

With long and well-storied history, today Silicon Valley appears to be franchising globally. Differing names and varying messages, still (silicon valleys) complete with widening circles of resource and influence and the best damn toolbox humanity ever created, the growing collection of exponential technology tools.

To many observers, the promise of exponential technologies out of Silicon Valley seems limited to gadgets, drones, riches for someone and visions of a grand long term techno-future. Yet with the power of the exponential toolbox, is there anything really interesting coming out of the world’s silicon valleys in 2015?

Indeed there just might be something else. A powerful but narrowly broadcast voice speaks to solving humanity’s grand challenges, food, water and energy being front runners. This voice comes in part from those that can mobilize exponential tools and exponential people, yet the voice and its disruptive message still seek global impact, exponential impact.

Humanity’s Grand Challenges Inc/Org might serve to describe this voice, keeping it simple for thinking purposes (siliconvalley.org).

The 2016 Olympics in Rio de Janeiro promise to be widely watched television globally for a number of reasons including: it is Rio, unprecedented promotion, it is Rio, almost ubiquitous global television or streaming, it is Rio, futebol (soccer), it is Rio.

The Olympics might be the only feel good story around for much of the world in need of a bit of a distraction in the summer of 2016. And it is Rio.

The world’s cameras and televisions, (the worlds eyes) will be in Rio during the Olympics looking for a feel good story. Smells of opportunity for siliconvalley.org.

As things stand, when the worlds eyes arrive, fine and grand sporting facilities at considerable cost to the Brazilian national wealth in the heart of Rio will dominate in the spectacular view. Early on, the worlds eyes will also see the nearby beaches of Copacabana, Ipanema and Barra as well as povo, cultura, samba, cerveja and churrasco.

In time the world eyes will gaze over to and up the hills immediately behind the beauty to poverty known as Favela da Rocinha, the largest of Brazil’s ~15,000 favelas populated by ~15million soccer watching fans. The officially 65,000, unofficially many times that, occupants of Rocinha live tough within eyesight of both the affluence and the opulence of the Olympic venues. As the worlds eyes tepidly walk into Rocinha, as they surely will, the feel good story the world desires starts feeling not quite so good. People are worried!

On the other hand, if the worlds eyes walked into Favela da Rocinha…..and, as an illustrative example:

Were met by smiling enthusiastic energetic guides from Rocinha…..and the tour starts.

Visibly and immediately, things are getting done, things are being built, everyone looks industriously busy. Smartphones, tablets and wifi are ubiquitous, people are communicating, the place is humming…..this feels good!

Turning a corner, rows of vertical gardens appear growing all manner of staple vegetables and exotic fruits. ‘Modular water filtration and recycling units and aquaponics’ explains the guide ‘are part of the vertical garden systems and soon the entire eco-system of Rocinha. It will be all solar powered with the very latest in technology as you can see by what we have done so far.’

A hub of activity can be seen around a set of small shops. Looking closer, 3d printers, a prototype 4d printer, cnc machines, 3d digital design equipment, servicebots, like Jim Newton’s Techshop only moda Rocinha. ‘A nossa fabrica additiva’ our additive factory explains the guide, ‘Ideas become reality almost overnight’.

The world’s cameras grow curious,’just how does such advanced technology get into the hands of these humble people, how did they learn to use these technologies, to build, to modernize, to grow gardens vertically, to clean up their water system. And the health care system they are building!’

A guide leads the worlds eyes further up the hill to to a long narrow simple building with several marked doors, some with recognizable logos . ‘A nossa embaixada’ beams the guide with pride.

Pointing past the NGO doors to a recent futuristic looking add-on to the building, over the door for the world eyes to see: siliconvalley.org

So anyway, just a futuristic story from a seasoned old roughneck.

Resources:

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silcon_Valley

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocinha

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Summer_Olympics

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Churrasco

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/06/16/5-facts-about-the-world-cup-and-the-people-who-are-watching/

Crowd Power (A bit of roughneck philosophy)

Crowd Power (A little roughneck philosophy)

The crowd is made up of us, almost 3 billion humans interactively connected, to varying degrees by the internet and smartphone cell coverage. Many of us, though by no means all, are using the power of the connected crowd mostly for self interest and triviality. Together with nearly 13 billion sensors and tech tools from home alarms to rhino protecting drones we form the Internet of everything (IoE).

Over the course of the next five years to ~2020, the crowd will double to about six billion people connected by and to the IoE, ~50 billion people, sensors, tech tools and toys.

As smartphones, the IoE and their successors become ubiquitous, by 2025, ~8 billion people will be hyper-connected at speeds of at least 1Mbps. Around 5 billion new crowd members, almost 200% growth in a decade. Powerful, very powerful!

These new crowd members, ~80-90% impoverished, will likely join the crowd motivated differently than the first couple of billion. Many will experience growth in access to knowledge and information at an exponential pace while living without basic human necessities and dignity.

Unprecedented awareness of the very latest in interests, innovation and exponential technology will come with equal awareness of the distant abundance of the few.

If this awareness is not supported with benevolent leadership, substance and practical assistance, as this emerging evolutionary entity matures, becomes self aware and powerful, its personality is likely to emulate that of its mentorship or worse. Much worse.

Vision2025 is about: ‘an 8 billion strong hyper-connected, hyper-cooperative, hyper-productive crowd of humane personality working to build and do amazing things and experiences with increasingly amazing technologies and growing abundance’.

Conclusion:

If the crowd is not on board and in on it well before 2025, the future may not be so bright. The harder road to the future.

Humanity needs to scale the democratization and demonetization of the fruits of its labors and disruptive exponential technologies. The easier road to the future.

‘ddph1.03.02015rvsd29.05.02015

A short story about a big contrast

A short story about a big contrast

Being invited as a guest to listen in on one of the planet’s greatest think tanks discuss humanity’s future is indeed a rare occasion and privilege.

800+ intelligentsia debating humanity’s future….with heart palpitating and backside puckering….what was to be discovered from listening in? Some really interesting thoughts to be sure, however the two topical postings of the day, by the same author no less, were quite a stunning contrast.

One post spoke of spinning theory on humanity’s future way way out there, like more than 100 years out there. The other post lamented the burden of the intellectual in being unable capture the attention of and motivate the masses to the wonders of the future, the future seemingly beginning ~2045.

Advice was sought from Socrates before resignation set in, grinding away at sharpening the science and rhetoric by the intellectual, same ol’ same ol’, seemingly the only way forward. Real inspiring stuff.

One old roughneck who was supposed to be just listening just couldn’t resist, without much thinking about who all might be listening in, piped up with 2 cents worth mostly as follows: (names, titles and places changed to protect the innocent and guilty alike).

“Dear A Person,

……. I am thoroughly enjoying reading your posts and those of your learned colleagues.

I was struck by the contrast between this XXXXX post and your YYYYY post. At the risk of breaching protocol, I must ask your indulgence for an observation or two from a layman’s perspective followed with a question or two.

You speak of difficulty in capturing the crowd’s attention. That to me would not necessarily suggest that the science and rhetoric were dull. It would rather suggest that the message is dull. If the crowd cannot feel the message, their attention span will be short. A sharp message captures the crowd’s attention, the science underpins it and the rhetoric fuels it.

I think that esteemed astrophysicist and story teller Neil Degrasse Tyson describes articulately what it takes to capture the crowd’s attention and make big things happen.  In his poorly attended appeal to a congressional committee on NASA’s behalf, he demonstrated the power of a generational vision with the man on the moon mission that spurred decades of extraordinary growth. Mr. Tyson contends that when manned space exploration stopped, the crowd could no longer feel the message and the vision died. Mr. Tyson proposes that a new manned exploration space mission and 1% of GDP will do it all again.

In the 60’s, the crowd was sporadically connected in a one way conversation. Today, the crowd is almost 3 billion strong, by 2025 everyone will be interconnected with multi-level conversational tools. The moon has been done, Mars is too far away to feel for most, I would suggest that it is going to take something completely different and back here on earth to inspire and craft a generational vision capable of capturing the crowd’s attention and motivating the masses such as you desire in this XXXXX post.

Contemplating and theory spinning on the YYYYY would seem to require having gone way up and way out there, way past (for simplicity) 2045 and way above 30,000 feet to look for plausible evidence one way or the other. At some point way out there, things must seem pretty stable and good for humanity, good enough to theorize further about YYYYY and such.

My questions would then be something like this:

When traveling back from such far reaching success scenarios, one could expect to see a rough best path and a few required milestones between then and present day. I would guess that you and others read and studied enough to be able to look down and back at things from those heights and distances would have been interested in having a look see at  ~2025 on the way past.

Presuming that your future success case would mean seeing a success case in 2025 as well, and presuming that the connected crowd, ~8 billion by then, would have had to unite in a major way to support a success case in 2025:

What are the 3 most visible or even shockingly visible societal changes seen between your 2025 view and present day?

Is there a sharp message and generational vision of sufficiently disruptive (make it all happen) amplitude to to be found by looking at studied views of 2025 with the scope pointed at ‘what has to happen to make this view a reality?’ 

Can those insights, curated for varying segments of society, and shared with the crowd over a broad bandwidth breed the tipping point you search for in YYYYY …..”

So, just a short story from a seasoned old roughneck…..will A. Person write a sequel?