A short reply to Bryan Parson’s crowd power question

A short reply to Bryan Parson’s question on crowd power.

Brian, Thank you for the feedback and question:

“The idea of technology awakening the impoverished masses, may be a catalyst for hyper-accelerated development. Is that a good or bad thing, I wonder?”

A robust argument could be made either way, depending upon exactly which technologies do get broadly democratized to the masses and when. Great debate rages over this very issue.

What about taking a look at things from a different viewpoint:

• Does it matter if it is good or bad,

Who cares. ‘Good’, ‘Bad’, by whose definition anyway? Is society not changing what is good and bad at an accelerating rate? The disruptive events in Alberta and Ireland recently are redefining what was once considered as bad into good.

• Vision and Message. Positive v Negative,

Replacing a vision of seemingly perpetual poverty with a real live (see it, touch it, feel it) vision of hope: that is a different message.

• Enough already, humanity can get on top of it for once, before it is too late, with exponential thinking,

Society spends much of its resources responding to the effects of poverty. Fewer resources are spent in eliminating poverty. Again debate rages.

We now live in an exponential world where linear thinking breeds failure. Linear thinking might argue that a cheap cell phone, internet, a few seeds and a $700 micro-loan to plant a garden and by a milk cow is all that can or should be done. Steady as she goes linear thinking.

Exponential thinking would identify that the intermittently connected crowd will grow from under 3 billion today to circa 8 billion almost continuously hyper-connected people by 2025. So will grow access to knowledge and information, exponentially.

It is difficult to see a ‘seeds and micro-loan’ policy surviving the approval of the crowd for much longer unless scaled 10x soonish. A 1 billion happy / 7 billion unhappy ratio does not bode well for the future.

It is also difficult to envisage anything other than really bold moves capturing the crowd’s attention to make this all happen. Bold moves hat can evolve into a generational vision as hinted in a post entitled ‘a futurist story about Silicon Valley and Rio de Janeiro’. https://disrupt2thrive.com/2015/05/30/a-futuristic-story-about-silicon-valley-and-rio-de-janeiro/

Moves that envisage a ratio of >7 billion happy / <1 billion unhappy for humanity by 2025.

Anyway, to reply to the question: Neither good, nor bad, just necessary.                                 ddrp1.31.05.02015

A futuristic story about Silicon Valley and Rio de Janeiro

A futuristic story about Silicon Valley and Rio de Janeiro

With long and well-storied history, today Silicon Valley appears to be franchising globally. Differing names and varying messages, still (silicon valleys) complete with widening circles of resource and influence and the best damn toolbox humanity ever created, the growing collection of exponential technology tools.

To many observers, the promise of exponential technologies out of Silicon Valley seems limited to gadgets, drones, riches for someone and visions of a grand long term techno-future. Yet with the power of the exponential toolbox, is there anything really interesting coming out of the world’s silicon valleys in 2015?

Indeed there just might be something else. A powerful but narrowly broadcast voice speaks to solving humanity’s grand challenges, food, water and energy being front runners. This voice comes in part from those that can mobilize exponential tools and exponential people, yet the voice and its disruptive message still seek global impact, exponential impact.

Humanity’s Grand Challenges Inc/Org might serve to describe this voice, keeping it simple for thinking purposes (siliconvalley.org).

The 2016 Olympics in Rio de Janeiro promise to be widely watched television globally for a number of reasons including: it is Rio, unprecedented promotion, it is Rio, almost ubiquitous global television or streaming, it is Rio, futebol (soccer), it is Rio.

The Olympics might be the only feel good story around for much of the world in need of a bit of a distraction in the summer of 2016. And it is Rio.

The world’s cameras and televisions, (the worlds eyes) will be in Rio during the Olympics looking for a feel good story. Smells of opportunity for siliconvalley.org.

As things stand, when the worlds eyes arrive, fine and grand sporting facilities at considerable cost to the Brazilian national wealth in the heart of Rio will dominate in the spectacular view. Early on, the worlds eyes will also see the nearby beaches of Copacabana, Ipanema and Barra as well as povo, cultura, samba, cerveja and churrasco.

In time the world eyes will gaze over to and up the hills immediately behind the beauty to poverty known as Favela da Rocinha, the largest of Brazil’s ~15,000 favelas populated by ~15million soccer watching fans. The officially 65,000, unofficially many times that, occupants of Rocinha live tough within eyesight of both the affluence and the opulence of the Olympic venues. As the worlds eyes tepidly walk into Rocinha, as they surely will, the feel good story the world desires starts feeling not quite so good. People are worried!

On the other hand, if the worlds eyes walked into Favela da Rocinha…..and, as an illustrative example:

Were met by smiling enthusiastic energetic guides from Rocinha…..and the tour starts.

Visibly and immediately, things are getting done, things are being built, everyone looks industriously busy. Smartphones, tablets and wifi are ubiquitous, people are communicating, the place is humming…..this feels good!

Turning a corner, rows of vertical gardens appear growing all manner of staple vegetables and exotic fruits. ‘Modular water filtration and recycling units and aquaponics’ explains the guide ‘are part of the vertical garden systems and soon the entire eco-system of Rocinha. It will be all solar powered with the very latest in technology as you can see by what we have done so far.’

A hub of activity can be seen around a set of small shops. Looking closer, 3d printers, a prototype 4d printer, cnc machines, 3d digital design equipment, servicebots, like Jim Newton’s Techshop only moda Rocinha. ‘A nossa fabrica additiva’ our additive factory explains the guide, ‘Ideas become reality almost overnight’.

The world’s cameras grow curious,’just how does such advanced technology get into the hands of these humble people, how did they learn to use these technologies, to build, to modernize, to grow gardens vertically, to clean up their water system. And the health care system they are building!’

A guide leads the worlds eyes further up the hill to to a long narrow simple building with several marked doors, some with recognizable logos . ‘A nossa embaixada’ beams the guide with pride.

Pointing past the NGO doors to a recent futuristic looking add-on to the building, over the door for the world eyes to see: siliconvalley.org

So anyway, just a futuristic story from a seasoned old roughneck.